It's cool fun sometimes to look at under-$10 stocks and see if there are any worth investing in. TiVo (NASDAQ: TIVO), famous maker of digital-video-recorder technology, is currently trading under $10 a share, and it reported its Q2 numbers on Wednesday. I can't say, though, that I'm ready to buy just yet, even though some of the stats presented in the release described a nice improvement in year-over-year comparisons.
The bottom line, in fact, improved substantially. Earnings per diluted share came in at 3 cents. Last year, TiVo saw a loss of 18 cents per diluted share. According to Earnings.com, analysts were looking for a loss of 2 cents per share during the quarter, so estimates were certainly beat.
Cash flow from operations also jumped in a very nice way. The company generated over $10 million over the last six months. During the similar time period in 2007, TiVo needed to use almost three times that amount to keep operations going. Cash flow is an important metric for investors to look at, so that was good to see.
Stock futures were flattish Thursday morning as oil prices rose due to continued concern over Gustav. However, some retailers have posted better-than-expected earnings. Still, there are several economic reports due before the open that could sway sentiment either way, including revised GDP for the second quarter. [Update: Futures turned positive after the report U.S. gross domestic product grew by 3.3% in the second quarter - much higher than previously stated.]
U.S. jeweler Tiffany & Co (NYSE: TIF) posted double the quarterly profit from a year ago on Thursday, benefiting from strong international sales and solid tourist spending at its New York flagship store. Net profit was $80.8 million, or 63 cents per share, in its fiscal second quarter, up from $40.5 million, or 29 cents per share a year earlier, and beating estimates of 55 cents per share. Revenue grew 11%. Tiffany also raised its 2008 profit outlook on strong sales in Europe and Asia and expected improvement in the U.S. TIF shares are up over 6% in premarket trading.
On the other hand, department store retailer Sears Holdings (NASDAQ: SHLD) reported a 62% plunge in second-quarter net profit to $65 million, or 50 cents per share. Excluding a gain, Sears earned 21 cents, trailing some analysts' estimates by 15 cents. Chief Executive Bruce Johnson said the results were affected by the "slowing economy." It seems some, though, still have confidence in Chairman Lampert.
Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM), the mortgage finance giant, shook up its executive ranks Wednesday. "Its chief financial officer and two other top executives are leaving the company. Three current executives were promoted to replace them." CEO Mudd kept his job. Shares of Fannie and sibling Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE) have been rising after concern over a government bailout lessened. In premarket trading, FNM and FRE shares are up over 6% and 5% respectively.
The economic downturn has meant lower sales for retailers such as department store chain Dillard's Inc. (NYSE: DDS) and apparel retailer Talbots Inc. (NYSE: TLB). On Wednesday both companies reported wider second-quarter losses.
Little Rock, Ark.-based Dillard's said it it lost $38.3 million, or 51 cents a share, in the quarter, compared with a loss of $25.2 million, or 31 cents a share, in the second quarter of the previous year. Same-store sales fell 4%, and overall revenue dropped to $1.65 billion from $1.69 billion a year ago.
Results included a gain of 15 cents per share, mostly from the sale of a company airplane, and store closing and other charges of 8 cents per share.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial had expected a loss of 54 cents per share on revenue of $1.62 billion.
Dillard's said cost-cutting efforts in the second quarter were insufficient to offset disappointing results, but that the company would continue to close under-performing stores and cut back on advertising and general expenses.
Shares of Dillard's jumped 48 cents, or 4%, to $11.85 in early trading, before settling back down. Shares are down about 38% year to date.
J. Crew Group's (NYSE: JCG) stock is not a thing of beauty. The retailer's shares have been weak for a long time, and the latest quarterly numbers did nothing to change my mind about the stock's prospects.
For the second quarter, J. Crew, whose competitors include Abercrombie & Fitch (NYSE: ANF) and Gap (NYSE: GPS), reported a 10% increase in top-line sales. Not bad, I suppose. But I'll tell you what, there is some bad to come. Operating income went down 15%. Gross margin saw an unfortunate decline, dropping from 43.7% to 41%. And earnings per diluted share came in at 28 cents compared to last year's 32 cents per diluted share. That's a better than 12% drop.
Now, there is something to consider with the stats. The earnings release states that a systems upgrade in the direct-sales channel is affecting the results. In fact, there apparently were some costs related to the upgrades that were unexpected. Management says that this sum was equal to $3 million. In theory, these upgrades will help to position the company for long-term growth.
SkillSoft PLC (NASDAQ: SKIL) provides on-demand Internet-based training courses for professionals in business and information technology (IT). The company catalog includes more than 6,600 courses addressing such issues as project management, sales, business strategy, finance, regulatory compliance, operating systems, network technologies and Web design. SkillSoft also offers online coaching for more than 100 IT certification exams and provides access to some 19,000 engineering, IT, and business books online. Clients include IBM (NYSE: IBM), Merck (NYSE: MRK) and Yahoo! (NASDAQ: YHOO).
The firm pleased investors last week, when it reported Q2 EPS of ten cents and revenues of $83.3 million. Analysts had been expecting seven cents and $82.4 million. Management also guided Q3 EPS to 9-10 cents (nine cent consensus), Q3 revenues to $84.0-$85.5 million ($84.83M consensus), FY09 EPS to 35-38 cents (34 cent consensus) and FY09 revenues to $335-$338 million ($336.43M consensus).
Rising commodities prices led both Smithfield Foods Inc. (NYSE: SFD), the nation's largest pork producer and processor, and poultry producer Sanderson Farms Inc. (NASDAQ: SAFM) to report quarterly losses on Tuesday.
Smithfield Foods said it lost $12.6 million, or 9 cents per share, in its fiscal first quarter due in part to a $20.1 million write-down in the value of commodity contracts. The Smithfield, Va.-based company had reported a profit of $54.6 million, or 41 cents per share, a year ago.
Revenues rose 20% to $3.14 billion in the quarter. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters had forecast a loss of 4 cents per share on $2.87 billion in sales.
In addition to hurting from high costs for such ingredients as grain and fuel, Smithfield also faces an oversupply of meat on the market, which is keeping prices for pork lower. To help push prices up, meat producers such as Smithfield have announced intentions to cut supply.
Shares of Smithfield fell 88 cents, or 3.7%, to $22.71 in morning trading. That's up from a 52-week low of $16.61 in early July, but shares have fallen about 21% since the beginning of the year.
URS Corporation (NYSE: URS) provides engineering, construction and technical services to public agencies and private sector companies around the world. The firm offers a full range of program management; planning, design and engineering; systems engineering and technical assistance; construction and construction management; operations and maintenance; and decommissioning and closure services. Most clients are involved with infrastructure, power, heavy industry and federal programs. URS employs about 50,000, in over 30 countries. Fluor Corporation (NYSE: FLR) and KBR (NYSE: KBR) are major competitors.
The company pleased investors earlier in the month, when it reported Q2 EPS of 72 cents and revenues of $2.53 billion. Analysts had been looking for 60 cents and $2.45 billion. In discussing the solid quarter, the CEO pointed to the firm's success in building capabilities across such growth areas as power and government work. Management also guided FY08 EPS to $2.36-$2.48 ($2.42) and FY08 revenues to $9.8 billion ($9.75B consensus). Morgan Joseph subsequently reiterated its "buy" rating on the shares and boosted its price target to $54.
This morning, BIG opened at $32.56. So far today the stock has hit a low of $30.21 and a high of $32.60. As of 12:45, BIG is trading at $31.69, down $1.37 (-4.1%). The chart for BIG looks neutral and S&P gives BIG a neutral 3 STARS (out of 5) hold ranking.
For a bearish hedged play on this stock, I would consider a September bear-call credit spread above the $35 range. A bear-call credit spread is an options position that combines the purchase and sale of call options to hedge risk in case the stock doesn't do what you think but still leverage nice returns. For this particular trade, we will make an 8.7% return in 4 weeks as long as BIG is below $35 at September expiration. Big Lots would have to rise by more than 11% before we would start to lose money. Learn more about this type of trade here.
After the closing bell last night, Thornburg Mortgage, Inc. (NYSE: TMA) managed to report a second-quarter profit, but the firm warned investors that it's in jeopardy of collapse as margin calls continue to roll in. Thornburg said that it covered $219 million of demands for collateral on August 21, and may face another $25.9 million of margin calls. Plus, uncertainty still remains about the outcome of an exchange offer that was meant to pull the New Mexico-based mortgage lender back from the brink of bankruptcy.
The jumbo-loan specialist said it swung to a second-quarter profit of $412.3 million, or 84 cents per share, after swallowing a first-quarter loss of $3.31 billion. During the recently concluded quarter, Thornburg wrote down $209.6 million in mortgage losses, which was offset by a $536.9-million gain from the declining value of a liability. Adjusted income for the period was $22.7 million.
Under the terms of a deal with MatlinPatterson Global Advisers, Thornburg agreed in March to conduct an exchange offer for some preferred stock. The offer expires on September 3, and holders of two-thirds of each of four classes of preferred stock must participate. The company warned that uncertainty about the outcome of the exchange offer, combined with the still-shaky market conditions, "raise substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern for the foreseeable future."
Individual investors and mutual funds are not the only ones who have been burned on the stock price drops at Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM) and Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE). JP Morgan (NYSE: JPM) reported Monday that it has lost $600 million on its investment in the two companies. According to Reuters,the big bank holds preferred stock in the mortgage firms.
The news begs the question of what other banks have similar investments and how much losses from these investments will damage their earnings?
Banks are in enough trouble due to subprime paper holdings, LBO debt and credit card loan pools. Holdings in the mortgage agencies could add enough on the pile to hurt third quarter earnings and cause losses for some firms.
Investors have yet another reason to stay away from bank stocks.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
China Petroleum (NYSE: SNP) has already announced that its profits were down 71% in the first half. Now PetroChina (NYSE: PTR) is getting ready to report a drop in its profits.
The culprit is China's energy policy, which is hurting investors in the Chinese oil industry. According to the AP, "While other global oil giants are reporting record profits, Chinese government price controls prevent PetroChina and other domestic refiners from passing on higher costs for crude oil to consumers." It is an excellent reason for investors to avoid these stocks.
The central government control of oil profits is a fine example of why China should not have taken many of its large companies private. China needs to keep gas and diesel prices down to control inflation and offer cheap fuel to maintain transportation costs of exports at low levels.
With oil trading around $120 a barrel, the oil refiners in China could actually swing to losses in the second half. China is driving investors out of its most important corporations. PetroChina already trades near a 52-week low. That is likely to get worse.
Douglas A. McIntyre is an editor at 247wallst.com.
U.S. stock futures were mixed on Tuesday. Following Monday's broad sell-off and volatile session, which was also marked by low volume, today might not be different -- volatile and low volume. Several reports are in focus today, specifically some housing data that could shine more light on the sector, and consumer confidence, which could also move stocks. Meantime, oil prices declined and the dollar strengthened against major currencies.
Rio Tinto (NYSE: RTP) shares are down over 3% in premarket trading after the mining giant reported fiscal first-half profit more than doubled. RTP's acquisition of Alcan and soaring commodity prices helped Rio achieve the results. RTP shares have been declining due to worldwide slower growth.
Meanwhile, Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE: APC) shares were 2.4% higher in after-hours after it announced a plan to buy back up to $5 billion of stock.
Staying with share buybacks, Coach (NYSE: COH) are also 1.7% higher in premarket trading after announcing a buyback program of up to $1 billion, which follows the completion of a similar repurchase.
And of course, Lehman Brothers (NYSE: LEH). Shares of the embattled banker are rising this morning following speculation that Kohlberg Kravis Roberts may be interested in buying Neuberger Berman, according to CNBC, while Blackstone Group backed away.
Estée Lauder Companies (NYSE: EL) is a leading manufacturer and marketer of skin care, makeup, fragrance and hair care products. These are sold in over 140 countries under a variety of established brands, including Estée Lauder, Aramis, Clinique, Bobbi Brown, American Beauty and Grassroots. The firm also operates as a licensee for such fragrance and cosmetic names as Tommy Hilfiger, Kiton, Donna Karan, Daisy Fuentes and Mustang. Estée Lauder sells its products through department stores, specialty retailers, pharmacies and salons, as well as company-owned stores, spas and Web sites. Elizabeth Arden (NASDAQ: RDEN), Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) and Revlon (NYSE: REV) are major competitors.
The firm pleased investors earlier in the month, when it reported fiscal Q4 EPS of 61 cents and revenues of $2.01 billion. Analysts had been looking for 56 cents and $1.93 billion. The CEO noted that strategic investments have enabled the company to continue building worldwide share, as it leverages opportunities in emerging markets. Management also guided Q1 EPS to 18-25 cents (24 cent consensus), FY09 EPS to $2.57-$2.72 ($2.66 consensus) and FY09 revenues to about $8.38-$8.54 billion ($8.38B consensus).
This past week, Sears Holdings Corp. (NASDAQ: SHLD) announced the addition of two new senior executives to replace the departing heads of its business segments. The former head of Motorola's (NYSE: MOT) mobile devices business, Stu Reed, will become senior vice president of Sears's home services unit. His predecessor was Mark Good. Former Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) senior executive Guenther Trieb will take charge of the Kenmore, Craftsman, and Diehard brands.
Hoffman Estates, Ill.-based Sears also announced the impending departure of Chief Marketing Officer Maureen McGuire. Senior vice president Richard Gerstein, also of the marketing team, will serve as chief marketing officer of Kmart and Sears.
Earlier this year Chairman Eddie Lampert split the company into five business units. But, the company reported in May its largest quarterly loss since the merger of Kmart and Sears in 2005. The company is scheduled to report second quarter results this week. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial on average expect a profit of 33 cents per share, up from a loss of 53 cents in the previous quarter, but still down from net income of $1.14 in the same quarter a year ago. Also, Sears has tended to offer negative surprises in the most recent quarterly reports. Analysts rate Sears as underperforming.
Shares closed Friday at $88.43, which is down 13.4% since the beginning of the year and down 38.4% from a year ago.
Results for the tech stocks in last week's preview were a mixed bag, some beats, some misses, some in line. By and large, expectations for tech companies reporting results this week remain high, though. Here's what analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial are anticipating in the way of earnings, as compared to the same period of the previous year.